Often referred to online as the “Chinese Nostradamus,” Professor Xueqin Jiang is gaining attention for his forecasts about the ongoing U.S.–Iran tensions in the Middle East.
The Chinese-Canadian academic has developed a sizable audience on YouTube, where his channel Predictive History discusses predictions about major global developments.
In May 2024, during lectures at a high school in China, Jiang shared three predictions and later uploaded them to his channel. According to his followers, two of those predictions have already come true, leaving viewers both curious and uneasy about the third.
One prediction he claims proved correct was that Donald Trump would win the 2024 U.S. presidential election. Jiang stated:
“If he [Trump] does become president in a second term, there will be a very strong likelihood that the United States will go to war with Iran.”
The United States and Iran have reportedly been in open confrontation since February 28, with tensions continuing to intensify. However, Jiang’s boldest forecast focuses on the potential outcome of such a conflict—that the United States would ultimately lose.
Jiang’s prediction about a potential war with Iran
When discussing hypothetical war scenarios, Jiang argued that an American offensive against Iran would likely fail.
“The third big prediction is that the United States will lose this war, which will forever change the global order,” he explained, highlighting Iran’s population size and geographical terrain as key advantages.
“If this war [US-Iran] were to happen, there’s absolutely no way America can win this war,” he added.
Jiang says his predictions are based on what he calls “psycho-history,” a framework he uses to interpret patterns in the past, present, and possible future.
In earlier videos, he suggested that Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is heavily influenced by resentment over past U.S. involvement in Iranian affairs. He argued that a potential conflict during a second Trump presidency could become a priority issue.
“We can suspect that a second Trump term war with Iran will be a major priority.
“Basically the United States is looking for a reason and Iran wants to give them a reason and that’s why I think war between the United States and Iran is very likely in the next two to four years.”
Speaking earlier this month, Jiang maintained confidence in his analysis.
“Given my analysis of how the war is progressing, I think that Iran has many more advantages over the United States. The reality is, right now, it’s a war of attrition between the United States and Iran, and Iranians have been preparing 20 years for this conflict.”
He added that Iran has conducted “practice runs” and is engaging in what he described as “waging war against the entire global economy” by closing the Strait of Hormuz.
